R88M-WP75030T-WS1新电改重构产业价值链,电网角色转变开启发、售、用巨大市场空间。电网角色由“吃购销价差”转变为收取过网费,长期来看,出让的利润将由发、售、用三方共享;售电侧参与主体多元化,发电和售电侧将展开电量和电价双重竞争,下游用户受益销售电价下降。核心配套文件预计近期出台,电改落地带来的空前投资机会不容忽视。
三月,四川省发改委发布了《关于四川电网统调水电站试行临时分类标杆上网电价的通知》(以下简称《通知》),决定对四川电网统调水电站试行临时分类标杆上网电价。
R88M-WP75030T-WS1根据《通知》,按调节性能试行临时分类标杆上网电价。径流式水电站标杆上网电价维持现行的0.308元/千瓦时(含17%增值税,下同),季调节(含不完全年调节)水电站标杆上网电价为0.35元/千瓦时,年调节和多年调节水电站标杆上网电价为0.39元/千瓦时。对带公益性的航电工程上网电价按省政府确定的在径流式电站标杆上网电价基础上实行“船闸投资加成加价”原则核定。而对于水电站申报临时分类标杆上网电价,将按程序核定,即按照《关于四川电网统调新建水电机组申报上网电价有关事项的通知》规定的程序实施。
调节价格利好,且水电作为清洁能源政策潜力较大,可以适当关注。
看好个股:明星电力川投能源岷江水电
关于新电改
新电价改革
本次电改的核心原则就是“抓中间放两头”,即对中间的电力的中间传输环节继续进行监管,而对开端的发电侧和末端的用电侧实行放开,引入竞争,推进市场化交易,并逐步建立完善科学的电价机制。发电端和用电端会迎来电改红利。
R88M-WP75030T-WS1从发电端看,各种发电模式尤其是清洁能源发电迎来机遇,在能源互联网的契机下,微网将越来越成熟,相应的分布式能源发电受到欢迎。
2015年一季度,全国新增光伏发电累计装机容量504万千瓦,其中,新增光伏电站累计装机容量438万千瓦,新增分布式光伏累计装机容量66万千瓦。全国光伏发电累计装机容量达到3312万千瓦,其中,光伏电站2779万千瓦,分布式光伏533万千瓦。新增装机容量较大的地区依然集中在新疆、内蒙古、浙江和甘肃等地区。
预计随着能源互联网的推进,分布式会建设会加速发展,构建微网系统。在《关于下达2015年光伏发电建设实施方案的通知》也明确提出:鼓励各地区优先建设35千伏及以下电压等级(东北地区66千伏及以下)接入电网、单个项目容量不超过2万千瓦且所发电量主要在并网点变电台区消纳的分布式光伏发电项目,电网企业对分布式光伏发电项目按简化程序办理电网接入手续。可见能源局对于分布式光伏的扶持力度。
8月7日悉,新电改的配套方案有望在近期出台,整套新电改配套方案大约有8个。这些配套方案涉及了售电市场改革的详细内容。
配合新电改,风电、水电、光伏等清洁能源的发展前途会更加光明,且特高压发展势在必行,可积极关注相应投资机会!
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